Foreign Exchange Rates : Currency Predictions - GBP, USD, EUR, AUD, NZD, CAD

6 May 2011 at 4 PM - Written by John Cameron

STORY LINK Foreign Exchange Rates : Currency Predictions - GBP, USD, EUR, AUD, NZD, CAD

POUND STERLING

The Pound continued its mini-revival during today’s session following higher than expected Producer Price Index data. The figures added to speculation that a UK interest rate hike may not be as far off as had been previously anticipated. NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK – NEUTRAL TO POSITIVE.


US DOLLAR – The Pound Dollar exchange rate (GBP/USD) is 1.6420

This afternoon’s Non-Farm Payrolls figure showed that 244,000 new jobs were created in the States last month versus expectations of 185,000. This has had the dual effect of bucking the recent dip in risk aversion, which should lead to Dollar weakness, whilst at the same time providing increased confidence about economic fundamentals in the States. NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK – NEUTRAL.


EURO – The Pound Euro exchange rate (GBP/EUR) is 1.1330

The Euro gave up a little more ground against both the Pound and the US Dollar today as the markets continued to digest ECB President Jean Claude Trichet’s comments from his press conference of yesterday afternoon. Trichet stated that a weaker US Dollar was desirable to aid the global recovery, leading many analysts to conclude that he will help achieve this goal by actively weakening the Euro. NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK – NEUTRAL TO NEGATIVE.


AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR – The Pound Australian Dollar exchange rate (GBP/AUD) is 1.5260

The Australian Dollar has taken large strides forward against the other majors on the day, largely thanks to a much better-than-anticipated US Non-Farm Payrolls figure, which was released earlier this afternoon. The job creation figure showed that economic conditions are improving quickly in the world’s largest economy, causing an increase in global appetite for risk. NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK – POSITIVE.


NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR – The Pound New Zealand Dollar exchange rate (GBP/NZD) is 2.0662

The New Zealand Dollar has moved in step with the Australian Dollar again today as global risk sentiment picked up. Monday sees the release of key NZ Housing Sector Data which will provide further direction for the remainder of the week. NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK – NEUTRAL.


CANADIAN DOLLAR – The Pound Canadian Dollar exchange rate (GBP/CAD) is 1.5777

The Canadian Dollar re-traced some of the ground it has lost during recent sessions on the day thanks to significantly better than expected Canadian employment data. The CAD was further assisted by some highly positive job creation data in the US, due to strong trading links between the two economies. With little Canadian data of note due for release next week, the CAD may continue to trend higher. NEAR-TERM OUTLOOK – NEUTRAL TO POSITIVIVE.

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