Pound Sterling Forecast: Falling Gilt Yields Help GBP Recover Against US Dollar

Modified: Tuesday, 9 June 2026 20:01 BST - Written by Minesh Chaudhari

STORY LINK Pound Sterling Forecast: Falling Gilt Yields Help GBP Recover Against US Dollar

The Pound US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate moved higher on Tuesday as improving market sentiment reduced demand for the safe-haven US Dollar.

At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading at approximately $1.3387, up around 0.4% compared with Tuesday’s opening levels.

The US Dollar (USD) came under pressure on Tuesday after comments from US President Donald Trump fuelled expectations that a diplomatic agreement with Iran may soon be reached.

Speaking late on Monday, Trump suggested negotiations had entered their final stages and indicated that a deal could be concluded within days.

The President also stated that shipping through the Strait of Hormuz could resume shortly after any agreement is signed, helping to bolster confidence across financial markets.

Further weighing on the ‘Greenback’ was a rebound in tech stocks, following reports that OpenAI has confidentially submitted paperwork for a US stock market listing.

The Pound (GBP) strengthened on Tuesday, aided by a pullback in UK government bond yields.

After climbing sharply at the start of the week, gilt yields eased back during the European session, offering some relief to Sterling.

Investors continue to pay close attention to developments in the UK bond market amid concerns over fiscal policy and political stability. Attention is also beginning to turn toward the upcoming Makerfield by-election, which could provide an important test for the Labour government.

Near-Term GBP/USD Forecast: US Inflation Figures Take Centre Stage

Looking ahead, the primary focus for GBP/USD investors will be Wednesday’s US inflation release.

Forecasts suggest consumer price growth accelerated again in May, potentially lifting inflation to its highest level in more than two years.

Should the figures print above expectations, the US Dollar could regain lost ground as markets increase bets that the Federal Reserve may need to keep interest rates higher for longer.

Meanwhile, with little in the way of notable UK economic data before Friday’s GDP release, Sterling is likely to remain sensitive to broader market sentiment and external developments.

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TAGS: Pound Dollar Forecasts