GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling Falls as Traders Awaited Powell’s Speech

Modified: Tuesday, 14 October 2025 21:45 BST - Written by David Woodsmith

STORY LINK GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling Falls as Traders Awaited Powell’s Speech

The Pound US Dollar exchange rate (GBP/USD) slumped on Tuesday, as the release of the UK’s latest labour market figures weighed on Sterling sentiment.

At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading at approximately $1.3268, down roughly 0.5% from the start of Tuesday’s session.

The Pound (GBP) came under fresh pressure against most of its peers on Tuesday following the release of the UK’s latest labour market figures.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that unemployment in August rose unexpectedly from 4.7% to 4.8%, marking its highest level since 2021.

Meanwhile, regular wage growth also underperformed, slipping to 4.7% from 4.8% in the same time period.

The weaker-than-expected data dented Sterling sentiment during Tuesday’s European session, fuelling speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) could still consider an interest rate cut this year.

The US Dollar (USD) held steady for the majority of Tuesday’s European session, managing to regain some ground against several of its peers.

Despite renewed trade tensions between the US and China, the ‘Greenback’ was supported by a slightly cautious market mood and its traditional safe-haven appeal.

Investors, however, remained hesitant to take aggressive positions on USD ahead of a scheduled speech from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell later in the day.

Should Powell adopt a hawkish tone, USD exchange rates could rise during the latter part of Tuesday’s European trading session.

GBP/USD Forecast: Central Bank Speeches to Dictate Midweek Movement

Looking ahead to Wednesday’s European session, the GBP/USD exchange rate is likely to be influenced by a series of central bank speeches, with both the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve in focus amid a quiet UK and US data calendar.

In the UK, BoE officials Dave Ramsden and Sarah Breeden are scheduled to speak, and any remarks that challenge current expectations for interest rate cuts this year could lend Sterling some support.

Meanwhile, across the Atlantic, a number of Federal Reserve speeches are also expected to shape mid-week trading.

Hawkish commentary from Fed officials could bolster the US Dollar, while dovish signals may weigh on the ‘Greenback’, leaving USD exchange rates vulnerable.

As a result, GBP/USD could experience heightened volatility on Wednesday, responding primarily to central bank sentiment and market appetite for risk, in the absence of major economic releases.

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TAGS: Pound Dollar Forecasts